Mr. van Loon, among many other things, in your research you have looked into health communication. What is your professional opinion on the official communication in this pandemic?
It was surprisingly good in the beginning. The government made plain what it knew and what it didn’t. They articulated clearly that protecting the population was paramount. That set an example even for other countries. States in which this was not done - for various reasons - consequently had more problems. In the second wave of the pandemic, the focus was on the hope of a vaccination. However, the uncertainty about its impacts rather stayed on the sidelines. The lockdown also had serious social, economic and political consequences, so that increasingly other interests came into play in communication that went beyond pure health protection. This then in turn affected communication and decisions during and in preparation of the third wave. The scaling back of test offers, for example, created the impression that vaccination can offer people complete protection, even though there were findings from other countries, like Israel, that indicated otherwise. In general, many other interests have come up besides the protection of public health. Politics have weighed the initially propagated line that “health is paramount” against other interests, resulting in a communication that is no longer unambiguous. Then add reports like the one on the mask affair and the credibility of the administration is seriously undermined. But without credibility, risk communication is not possible.
Has this kind of communication that you have just described, contributed to the formation of two camps of supporters of the measures on the one side and opponents on the other side?
I think that it has consolidated it. After all, communication has had to painstakingly react to precisely these camps and to misinformation, and still has to react. On the one hand, there is actual uncertainty, which is in the nature of any research that is still under way. On the other hand, there also is incorrect information, which communication has to deal with. It is an incredibly difficult task to present your own uncertain position and the on-going research while at the same time fighting off misinformation. Nevertheless, I think that we should not have allowed this to hound us.
What do you see as the cause of the formation of these camps? Was it only triggered by the pandemic or did the coronavirus actually cause it?
In my opinion, the beginnings of this development date back to the 1970s. That is when the Welfare State dismantled and the promise was put about that the market would change everything for the better. But that has not happened. No better world for all has come about, only a better world for some. This not only had an impact on social and economic policy, but also on culture and the media. There are hardly any debates in the public any more. Instead, assertions are made. We have undergone a shift from the publicity of discussions to a publicity of assertions and opinions. The field of sociology terms this phenomenon “culture wars” - conflicts in which parts of society can no longer debate with each other. In times of the coronavirus pandemic, this leads to a situation in which there are no longer any debates, but only camps making their assertions. There are no more bridges. The same was to be observed in the refugee debates, during the financial crisis or in the climate change debate. People no longer listen, but are very vocal. This also makes it harder for science. After all, the value of scientific findings lies in the ultimate principle that they are not predetermined by particular interests. But take the example of vaccinations. Especially in the testing of vaccines the responsible bodies are greatly independent. Only - how do you bring this across to a public that is no longer receptive?
What is the public position on science at the moment?
You have to differentiate between the 75 to 80 percent in Germany that are at least from a pragmatic viewpoint accepting of the measures and believe that the vaccination works. On the other hand, that also means that a fourth of the population does not think likewise. That is not a small number! The biggest problem with this group is their lack of interest in science and its methods. They’re only looking for results that will support their attitude. Thus, a collection of assertions and facts emerges that constructs a separate reality. If you find yourself in there, it will be very hard to get out again, because everything is under suspicion. People like that, you can no longer reach by talking with them.